Reliable-Dysfunction
0xbc1191aab287a1a37a7e7fcd44fcfbdde3c94e03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.62
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 October 27-November 2?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in November?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 28?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$1.64Nov 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$1.00Nov 4, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.74Nov 2, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Nov 2, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $270 in November?$1.00Nov 1, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.38Oct 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Oct 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2?$1.00Oct 31, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Oct 31, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.35Oct 31, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.59Oct 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,600 October 27-November 2?$1.00Oct 31, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.00Oct 31, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.03Oct 29, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Oct 29, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET$0.66Oct 29, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET$0.43Oct 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET$1.00Oct 29, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.14Oct 29, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".