Cumbersome-Scrim
0xbc18508ae1da211873546b0941d169417588b400
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$520.41
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$413.90
$163.05
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$87.80
$-163.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 13?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 13?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?$9.91Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 13?$9.62Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 13?$9.41Jun 13, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13?$9.41Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?$10.03Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on June 13?$9.42Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?$10.00Jun 12, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 13?$9.30Jun 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on June 13?$9.40Jun 12, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 13?$9.40Jun 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on June 13?$9.60Jun 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?$9.90Jun 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 13?$9.40Jun 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13?$9.40Jun 12, 03:47 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$40.00Jun 12, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $28.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.