Basic-Depression
0xbc1886d8fab2748dcf93a22ffe6f5f0589c4345a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.27
Total PnL
$-7.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
415 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
1 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.39Mar 30, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.02Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.03Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by November 30?$1.06Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?$1.10Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$2.06Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.16Jan 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by November 30?$1.00Nov 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?$1.00Nov 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$1.00Nov 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 12, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".