Gullible-Alcohol
0xbc1af942f54c8e81a6e7ee506a7e89530f4ce491
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$4.81May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$4.74May 28, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$1.39May 28, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$1.38May 20, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?$2.54Apr 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 15?$2.54Apr 15, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?$1.83Apr 10, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?$1.83Apr 7, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3AM ET$4.46Mar 23, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 9, 1AM ET$5.00Mar 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 9, 1AM ET$0.58Mar 9, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 9, 1AM ET$1.92Mar 9, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ET$5.01Mar 2, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ET$2.50Feb 4, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 20, 5AM ET$0.00Jan 26, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 20, 5AM ET$5.92Jan 20, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Jan 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$8.09Nov 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Oct 28, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $35.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.