Wallet digest

active

Activity score

32/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.6K

Realised

$-224.43

Win rate

23 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 77

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
3115 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025
$0.00
$-2.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
379 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025
$0.00
$-253.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
202 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-191.76
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
175 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-124.16
YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?
154 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-108.40
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
95 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-59.96
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
94 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025
$0.00
$-33.36
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
90 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
68 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$22.70Feb 6, 14:27 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$20.00Feb 6, 14:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Feb 6, 14:23 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.00Feb 6, 14:23 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$52.82Feb 6, 14:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Feb 6, 14:11 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Feb 6, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Feb 6, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$20.00Feb 6, 14:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$54.89Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$52.96Feb 6, 13:59 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.68Feb 6, 13:58 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$4.92Feb 6, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$3.25Feb 6, 13:55 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.00Feb 6, 13:55 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.00Feb 6, 13:53 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.00Feb 6, 13:53 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$13.50Feb 6, 13:42 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$13.21Feb 6, 13:41 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.00Feb 6, 13:38 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence77 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk39 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $11.28
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 5, 14:26 UTC
Last active: Feb 6, 14:27 UTC
Win rate sample: 23 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 18:03:46 UTC·src:Polymarket Data