Low-Locality
0xbc23a0a41fe9a2bfced59a3ac18c7f0b30882164
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-348.32
Realised
$-12.36
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- OVER
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5
306 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
183 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 22?
66 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
44 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- CANADA
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USA
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Scotty James (AUS) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
18 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$49.96May 12, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?$22.49May 10, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$12.71Apr 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$10.00Apr 12, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$10.00Apr 12, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$15.00Feb 28, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?$3.00Feb 26, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?$2.94Feb 26, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C.$3.69Feb 25, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.25Feb 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.38Feb 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 22?$8.00Feb 23, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 22?$0.00Feb 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?$2.10Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on February 22?$1.92Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?$0.90Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 22?$1.91Feb 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?$0.44Feb 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?$0.77Feb 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?$0.77Feb 21, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.