Shocking-Bowler
0xbc2a498a7c25bb4c5ebc533a49bf8e4c15046f9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$163.51
Total PnL
$6.2K
Realised
$6.9K
Win rate
24%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?
366 shares @ 1.4¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.44
$24.44
- NIGMA GALAXY
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$19.71
$-0.29
- TEAM LIQUID
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$19.46
$-0.54
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$19.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.86
$7.86
- YES
Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?
263 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.80
$2.80
- YES
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.89
$3.89
- YES
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.77
$3.77
- YES
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?
67 shares @ 7.4¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo$0.00Aug 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.07Aug 18, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.80Aug 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.08Aug 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.08Aug 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.07Aug 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.07Aug 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.04Aug 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
38 closed markets, 24% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 05:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.