Mindless-Disregard
0xbc2b0e6b56d88af15973ec1df53ed84953f7ba4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-383.10
Realised
$-15.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
111 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-46.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
99 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-53.84
- UNDER
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5
26 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
25 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.94
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
24 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
17 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.05Jul 19, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$6.24Jul 19, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.09Jul 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.09Jul 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.09Jul 19, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$2.63Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$5.88Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 9AM ET$2.03Jul 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$1.04Jul 19, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8AM ET$5.05Jul 19, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1PM ET$2.12Apr 18, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1PM ET$1.93Apr 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.19Apr 18, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Apr 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$9.00Apr 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$4.58Apr 16, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.73Apr 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Apr 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.64Apr 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.