Harsh-Molecule
0xbc2fc6852c8c1c32cf3f9bdb36784f62f89ff4bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-121.19
Realised
$-38.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
5900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.90
- NO
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 6?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.94Jan 21, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.06Jan 21, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?$62.00Jan 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 7, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 7, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$6.00Jan 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 6?$6.00Jan 6, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?$5.00Jan 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$2.00Jan 4, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$1.90Jan 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.04Jan 4, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.60Jan 4, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.01Jan 4, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.34Jan 4, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.01Jan 4, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.00Jan 4, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$0.00Jan 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$0.96Jan 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Jan 3, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.