0xbc320d1f63f17f735d753699134b2a7f5760fb8b
0xbc320d1f63f17f735d753699134b2a7f5760fb8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$63.09
Total PnL
$-9.94
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Barron Trump public statement before July?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$4.35
$3.35
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video after March 23 get less than 20m views?
4 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.64
$2.64
- YES
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$3.45
$2.45
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 33.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$3.04
$2.03
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$2.78
$1.78
- YES
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?
2 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$2.33
$1.63
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 3?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$1.85
$0.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?$1.22Jun 23, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.81Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$1.31Jun 13, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iran before July?$0.65Jun 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?$1.33Jun 1, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?$0.44May 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.50May 10, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-China trade deal before June?$1.06May 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.70May 6, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Buffett say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$0.84May 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.36May 3, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$0.60May 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$0.66Apr 29, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$1.08Apr 29, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$1.64Apr 29, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$0.60Apr 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bloc Quebecois win between 16 and 20 seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.05Apr 28, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$1.26Apr 28, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$1.27Apr 28, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?$1.27Apr 27, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.