Celebrated-Aid
0xbc3c2a5e9049d21b339613e7185585fbd90f3403
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.8K
Realised
$164.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
20850 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
15000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
13600 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
9000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YADONG
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
3939 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
3156 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-631.21
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3123 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-551.79
- YES
Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?
1598 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-455.23
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
1500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-525.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$510.00Jan 25, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$81.10Jan 25, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$21.00Jan 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 25, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.30Jan 25, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.0KJan 25, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$850.50Jan 25, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$49.50Jan 25, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$639.87Jan 25, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$52.82Jan 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$274.34Jan 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$5.51Jan 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$106.91Jan 25, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$15.66Jan 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$3.40Jan 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$0.51Jan 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$1.18Jan 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$0.07Jan 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$0.17Jan 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?$0.08Jan 18, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $93.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.