Sticky-Stimulus
0xbc45ae344628482dc245787e7f021df9dc9ae966
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$63.82
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
32 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$31.94
$6.94
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
34 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.88
$3.88
- WIZARDS
Jazz vs. Wizards
1724 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-28.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$25.00Jun 2, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$28.00Jun 2, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 31?$21.04Jun 2, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$32.26Jun 2, 06:28 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 31?$21.04May 30, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 31?$21.00May 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$30.00May 30, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?$10.62May 30, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar$40.53May 30, 05:07 UTC
- CONVERSIONBitcoin price on May 28?$10.62May 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?$10.60May 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar$40.02May 27, 14:44 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Mar 26, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Mar 25, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$9.86Mar 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$6.10Mar 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$1.00Mar 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$12.00Mar 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$1.50Mar 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Lyman by April 30?$3.18Mar 24, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $336.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".