Rewarding-Severity
0xbc474076ba134389c4dd3abeeaff33e817d7bee4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.04
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
2870 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.04
$-107.61
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
16662 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-288.90
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
13307 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-793.05
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
4881 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-73.21
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
4467 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
4439 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-35.51
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
4362 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-273.21
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2262 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-429.86
- YES
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?
2080 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-673.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$117.65Apr 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$50.00Jan 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $102.56Dec 30, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $170.66Dec 27, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$429.86Dec 21, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$73.21Dec 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?$374.49Dec 2, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?$298.58Dec 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$91.16Nov 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$53.74Nov 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$144.02Oct 31, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$67.00Oct 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$35.51Oct 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$641.60Apr 23, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$50.00Apr 21, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$101.48Apr 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.96Nov 6, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?$1.5KJul 7, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?$159.97Apr 29, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $242.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.