Needy-Speedboat
0xbc48c5089eacf07e9adbf797ee3cca6ce0fe389d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-852.33
Realised
$-30.61
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
14 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
13 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
12 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$9.09Aug 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.16Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.69Aug 16, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$3.62Aug 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$4.16Aug 15, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.22Aug 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.63Aug 15, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$9.09Aug 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$4.07Aug 15, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$6.74Aug 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.69Aug 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$3.72Aug 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.69Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$8.33Aug 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.15Aug 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.70Aug 15, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.61Aug 15, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$7.29Aug 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$3.63Aug 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3.69Aug 15, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.