Relieved-Office
0xbc495ea6fccb25787251089e4fcd6280fc009e20
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$635.42
Total PnL
$-0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
330 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$329.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 21?
167 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$166.41
$-0.58
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
68 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
37 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
13 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.05
$0.05
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.96
$-0.04
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.14
$0.02
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.24
$0.01
- ZERO TENACITY
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 21?$167.01May 21, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$167.33May 21, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$36.05May 20, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$36.07May 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?$167.02May 19, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$6.05May 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$36.00May 19, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.00May 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$13.01May 19, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.13May 19, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$21.49May 19, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$211.27May 19, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$330.02May 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$66.10May 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$21.00May 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$210.00May 14, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$600.60May 14, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 8, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.12May 8, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.23May 8, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $204.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".