Needy-Dam
0xbc4a0c1e7ce7cd9a1802dfa2fa383d6c9e6d5aef
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$83.64
Total PnL
$-287.04
Realised
$-15.82
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 84.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.58
$3.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 65.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.07
$-4.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9AM ET
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3AM ET
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET
14 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3AM ET
13 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11AM ET
13 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7AM ET
12 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9PM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.