Knobby-Data
0xbc4d99d6bc3c7e1155d119a70167cd5197847fe8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-401.08
Realised
$-44.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
1055 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
741 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
325 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times?
127 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-20?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
91 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-19?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-23?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0.99Nov 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$2.00Nov 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$13.00Nov 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$11.01Nov 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$27.00Nov 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$29.19Nov 27, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$13.00Nov 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$2.19Nov 25, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$17.00Nov 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$27.50Nov 25, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$11.00Nov 24, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$9.02Nov 24, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$27.00Nov 24, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$7.00Nov 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$7.32Nov 14, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$36.00Nov 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$36.22Nov 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$27.00Nov 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$19.29Nov 13, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".