Unrealistic-Wax
0xbc4ed242d4d9b65936ab0cb0ef16c2beca27b5ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.69
Realised
$10.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
2685 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1211 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
419 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
323 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.00Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.90Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Forum for Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$3.00Oct 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?$1.00Oct 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$12.90Oct 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Oct 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.00Oct 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PEC Zwolle win on 2025-09-24?$7.00Sep 24, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AZ win on 2025-09-24?$52.00Sep 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?$1.00Sep 22, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?$15.87Sep 22, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".