0xbc5409afd95d727c2dfa4ec5f19c7996e10ee808
0xbc5409afd95d727c2dfa4ec5f19c7996e10ee808
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$303.47
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
458 shares @ 69.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$226.76
$-90.18
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
189 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$76.71
$-17.99
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
3143 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$99.91Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$333.53Jun 1, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$426.53Jun 1, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$245.66May 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$688.61May 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$697.97May 7, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$706.00May 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$730.65May 7, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$130.00May 5, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$425.00Apr 29, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$218.95Apr 20, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$192.00Apr 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$546.71Apr 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$576.00Apr 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$59.00Apr 1, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1.5KMar 31, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.7KMar 31, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$511.00Mar 29, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$640.48Mar 29, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$320.00Mar 23, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $499.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.