Appropriate-Motivation
0xbc5559332d6e72dea8ce3b540cbc434e875f838f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$109.95
Total PnL
$-805.43
Realised
$2.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?
78 shares @ 76.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$56.36
$-3.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?
72 shares @ 69.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$25.56
$-24.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?
31 shares @ 65.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.93
$-4.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?
64 shares @ 47.1¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.10
$-17.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?
484 shares @ 93.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-451.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?
337 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?
304 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-128.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?
194 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 2?
180 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 14?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?$10.25Jun 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?$20.54Jun 7, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$18.20Jun 7, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?$20.35Jun 7, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$12.41Jun 7, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$22.22Jun 7, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$7.59Jun 7, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$25.38Jun 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$25.39Jun 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?$34.94Jun 6, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$2.29Jun 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$24.23Jun 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?$8.73Jun 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$5.24Jun 6, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?$4.98Jun 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?$5.13Jun 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?$2.56Jun 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$3.46Jun 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$8.36Jun 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?$2.46Jun 6, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.