Average-Quart
0xbc5dab41d503d00a076cfa09c8884b0f2466ef99
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1050 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-525.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.01Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.02Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?$1.02Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.02Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.02Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.12Dec 26, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$234.47Dec 5, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$15.53Dec 5, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $159.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 05:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".