Playful-Lottery
0xbc5f0e78c4672b3682f7518ca92cb9b3028b3607
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
16667 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
15969 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
7249 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$0.00Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$428.61Apr 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$60.23Apr 8, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$0.33Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$0.16Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$8.03Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?$1.25Apr 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.0KJan 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$2.0KJan 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.0KJan 29, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $722.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.