Reliable-Developmental
0xbc62c8cb817e8fc17a265e821c1cd5923a254f5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$80.00
Total PnL
$-455.96
Realised
$54.70
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$80.00
$78.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
892 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
308 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
273 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.38
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
233 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
152 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$100.00Jan 21, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$5.50Jan 20, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$5.85Jan 20, 00:08 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?$80.00Jan 13, 19:00 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$80.00Jan 13, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$50.00Jan 13, 05:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$50.00Jan 13, 05:07 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets December 23 - December 30, 2025?$50.00Jan 13, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$2.80Jan 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.90Jan 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.85Jan 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.85Jan 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.70Jan 10, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.90Jan 10, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.05Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.05Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.05Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.05Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?$100.00Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$100.00Jan 10, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".