Third-Hobby
0xbc796cd9ec60c6c52ea4730d6b66cb654bd6ff47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-351.43
Realised
$-1.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
311 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-25.48
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?
164 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-133.73
- YES
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
158 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Obama affair with Jennifer Aniston?
120 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
81 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2025$0.00
$-26.43
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
78 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12AM ET
56 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-19.45
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?
53 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.31
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
52 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$24.34May 30, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$21.75May 27, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$21.75May 27, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.89May 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$16.97Apr 30, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$16.90Apr 29, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?$10.06Apr 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?$8.32Apr 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMadrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar$8.32Apr 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$0.00Apr 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar$6.81Apr 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$16.81Apr 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$9.99Apr 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$9.99Apr 23, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$136.36Dec 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$90.00Nov 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?$133.73Nov 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$313.18Nov 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$20.54Nov 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$63.77Nov 9, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $33.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".