0xbc81cbdc91ec1713eba43fe69fc4f6efbdd1a6a5
0xbc81cbdc91ec1713eba43fe69fc4f6efbdd1a6a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$41.15
Total PnL
$-267.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
286 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.44
$-4.69
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$18.95
$1.95
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1110 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.67
$-1.67
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
100 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.05
$-13.29
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
82 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.04
$-7.51
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?
439 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?
394 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.57May 26, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$0.39May 26, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$2.03May 26, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$2.87May 25, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.17May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.43May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$0.68May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$0.94May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$0.94May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.61May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$8.65May 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.70May 25, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.87May 25, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$1.04May 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$1.04May 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?$2.07May 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.18May 25, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$10.94May 25, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.46May 25, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$4.30May 25, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $44.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".