Rotten-Chem
0xbc8aaa84c3f0d5438e6bc4c541644614ce32903d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.07
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.56
$-0.00
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.49
$0.05
- NO
Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-0.01
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.29
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-0.07
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- KRAKEN
Red Wings vs. Kraken
4857 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $1.58May 20, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.35May 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.43May 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.23May 20, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.26May 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.23May 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$1.44May 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.56May 20, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.15May 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.51May 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.05May 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.03May 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.42May 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.77May 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.84May 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$0.90May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.03May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.12May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.26May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.48May 14, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".