Mundane-Carnation
0xbc90591a11ec5b5454aed76c1f8a91b91da6a9f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
1225 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.30
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
1142 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-808.03
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
778 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-334.64
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.01
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?
37 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 16?
13 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$808.03Mar 1, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Hornets$100.00Mar 1, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$318.36Feb 28, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Hornets$74.00Feb 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$105.21Feb 28, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$671.39Feb 16, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$654.57Feb 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$186.77Feb 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$9.90Feb 13, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$10.39Feb 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$26.52Feb 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$121.35Feb 12, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$63.63Feb 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$47.76Feb 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$973.99Feb 9, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$438.95Feb 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$408.17Feb 7, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$866.82Feb 7, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$864.22Jan 3, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $271.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".