Ecstatic-Contrast
0xbca17b0d255c88c972d859a76676e43432de7181
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$40.9K
Total PnL
$-66.3K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
35625 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.5K
$-536.87
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
8000 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.8K
$172.00
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2781 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$11.93
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?
148701 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
50218 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in February?
50000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
27827 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?
22198 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?
18160 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.25Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$295.17Apr 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.21Apr 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$8.40Apr 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$181.16Apr 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.92Apr 22, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$22.96Apr 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.21Apr 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$2.64Apr 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.21Apr 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.90Apr 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$2.21Apr 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$1.40Apr 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.04Apr 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$46.16Apr 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$2.80Apr 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$0.42Apr 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$2.65Apr 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$5.37Apr 22, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$5.60Apr 22, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".