Runny-Globe
0xbca1f2a4c7e9f9753b404767a40ce0617cdbc6f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$14.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
82998 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-921.11
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2038 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-87.61
- YES
No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
2000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-34.82
- YES
Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
340 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-31.60
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
240 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
120 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-67.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$21.60Oct 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 8, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.70Oct 8, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.45Oct 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.07Oct 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Oct 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.22Oct 8, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.28Oct 8, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.04Oct 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.25Oct 7, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.09Oct 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 7, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out in 2025?$34.73Sep 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$86.82Jan 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?$87.37Jan 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $241.48Dec 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Dec 10, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?$0.20Dec 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?$0.43Dec 9, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?$0.43Dec 9, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $21.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.