Thoughtful-Jar
0xbca8842b0fa9fd3590dd3857dfee24abcaa5b1a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$50.78
Total PnL
$-691.16
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1999 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.78
$0.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?
1092 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-206.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?
607 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-47.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?
593 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-36.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?
586 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-146.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?
435 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?
385 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-89.69
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?
285 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
268 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?
246 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-53.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.44Jun 12, 16:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.95Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$3.84Jun 11, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$32.38Jun 11, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$72.00Jun 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$21.00Jun 11, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$23.00Jun 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$25.00Jun 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?$31.47Jun 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$1.14Jun 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$0.49Jun 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$0.49Jun 10, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$11.00Jun 10, 02:34 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.85Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?$9.14Jun 9, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?$18.10Jun 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?$72.54Jun 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?$26.36Jun 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9?$25.00Jun 9, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.