Cloudy-Attic
0xbcb4151bdf4b76713616561b0bb0684959c2b811
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-90.2K
Realised
$6.7K
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?
23250 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
22853 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-748.19
- NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
22000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
20131 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 14?
20000 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?
20000 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in November?
19000 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 9?
18000 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?
18000 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
17977 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$11.10Feb 5, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$6.29Feb 2, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$8.90Feb 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$6.48Feb 2, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of January?$713.63Feb 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$2.8KFeb 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?$100.00Jan 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$651.67Jan 31, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$962.33Jan 31, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$4.5KJan 31, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?$884.34Jan 31, 05:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.32Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of January?$7.30Jan 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of January?$444.86Jan 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of January?$18.84Jan 30, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?$7.04Jan 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?$53.00Jan 30, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$100.63Jan 30, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$31.26Jan 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$625.16Jan 30, 11:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $277.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.