Fluffy-Historian
0xbcb8f8415c5a5702ee5736fd61687b0f44a63058
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.24
Total PnL
$-30.0K
Realised
$-6.6K
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- DALLAS WINGS
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings
490 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.24
$-296.88
- YES
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-23?
4800 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- CINCINNATI REDS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
3478 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- ROCKETS
Lakers vs. Rockets
2970 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Rockets
948 shares @ 83.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-792.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
896 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-472.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
835 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-167.54
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?
798 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-47.89
- YES
Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
792 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-477.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings$89.88May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings$75.24May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings$132.00May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$519.46May 15, 01:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.10May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$998.97May 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$408.23May 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$57.14May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$81.46May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$873.39May 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$85.50May 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$47.57May 14, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMParma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska$1.3KMay 14, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYParma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska$997.71May 14, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.00May 14, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$30.00May 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$21.73May 14, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$30.92May 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$20.50May 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIndiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks$978.99May 14, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $245.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".