Luminous-Fries
0xbcba9b7c1090cb9e834a961e9e35bbdea39c3c40
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.99
Total PnL
$-3.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$2.08
$0.85
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$1.26Feb 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?$1.00Feb 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?$1.23Feb 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?$1.00Feb 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?$1.00Feb 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Feb 2, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$2.00Feb 2, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Feb 2, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $370–385 in 2025?$0.00Feb 2, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.00Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMLai Ching-te impeached before 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$1.01Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.01Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.01Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.43Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.42Dec 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 28, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".