Apt-Thanks
0xbcbecb3797e9e07a325fb36b32b1eda176238ac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$427.03
Total PnL
$-523.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
217 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$217.39
$17.39
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
238 shares @ 83.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.83
$3.83
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.81
$-14.19
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out first?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
112 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$34.00Mar 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$100.00Mar 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$126.49Mar 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Mar 1, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score$50.00Mar 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score$98.04Feb 28, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score$50.00Feb 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$109.64Feb 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score$38.15Feb 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Feb 23, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$136.99Feb 3, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jan 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$21.16Jan 12, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$27.56Jan 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-5.5)$43.39Jan 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Greenland by March 31?$100.00Jan 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$200.00Jan 8, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 8, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$109.89Jan 1, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$111.11Jan 1, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $57.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".