Scientific-Reluctance
0xbccb3304cdf165071f47d7521e83b00a17eb78e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
134 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
94 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 2?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
18 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 2?$2.00Jan 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 2 be less than 1,750,000?$0.06Jan 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 2 be less than 1,750,000?$2.00Jan 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 2?$4.72Jan 2, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 2?$3.71Jan 1, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$8.00Jan 1, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$4.93Jan 1, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.55Jan 1, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$7.00Jan 1, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$6.16Jan 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$2.09Jan 1, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$1.00Jan 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?$3.52Jan 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$2.00Jan 1, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$2.00Jan 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?$4.00Jan 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$5.00Jan 1, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$5.00Jan 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$7.28Jan 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?$7.19Jan 1, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.