Complex-News
0xbcce0eeec7ba25bb6b2f7fceb6540e84d92ae088
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-286.77
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or higher on January 3?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$5.00
$0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 17?
1064 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on December 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 9?
961 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-33.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on December 11?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on December 12?
503 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on December 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on December 11?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on December 12?
370 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?$6.00Jan 2, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 1?$15.00Jan 2, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 3?$2.00Jan 1, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 2?$1.50Jan 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C or higher on January 3?$4.40Jan 1, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?$5.00Dec 31, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 1?$14.40Dec 31, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on December 31?$4.59Dec 31, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 1?$4.86Dec 31, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 20?$6.00Dec 30, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 21?$3.05Dec 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 21?$1.08Dec 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 21?$1.35Dec 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 20?$1.05Dec 20, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on December 19?$2.94Dec 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on December 19?$5.00Dec 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on December 20?$0.00Dec 19, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on December 20?$5.00Dec 19, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 19?$5.00Dec 19, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".