Judicious-Arithmetic
0xbccf1be53eb2f0f8385745671a05061850f195e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.05
Realised
$-13.52
Win rate
0%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 24?
359 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 24?
335 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on July 21?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 24?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 88°F or higher on July 23?
285 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 29?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on July 16?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 20?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?$28.63Jul 27, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?$36.70Jul 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?$2.39Jul 26, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 27?$1.78Jul 26, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 26?$2.39Jul 25, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?$2.40Jul 25, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 26?$1.78Jul 25, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 27?$1.78Jul 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 27?$2.39Jul 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 27?$2.39Jul 25, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 26?$1.05Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 26?$2.39Jul 25, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 26?$2.39Jul 25, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 26?$1.78Jul 25, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 25, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?$2.39Jul 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 26?$2.39Jul 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 27?$2.39Jul 25, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 27?$1.78Jul 25, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
195 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.