Dismal-Tender
0xbcd2a8a728ed3ef90dfbf9bfa67f1575abf5a311
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.29
Total PnL
$-8.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.76
$0.01
- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.36
$0.02
- NO
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.03
$0.01
- NO
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 4?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$2.34May 31, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.34May 9, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.41Apr 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.15Apr 29, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.05Apr 28, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.34Apr 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.34Mar 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?$1.25Mar 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?$2.02Dec 30, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.22Dec 30, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.99Dec 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.22Dec 9, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.21Dec 9, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.24Dec 9, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.96Dec 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.20Dec 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.21Dec 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.59Dec 8, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.80Dec 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.21Dec 8, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".