Poised-Arcade
0xbcdd82bf786c04172a82713d7e804d4e63cbe090
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.29
Total PnL
$-0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
2 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$2.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Oct 24, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 24, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET$0.00Oct 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET$1.01Oct 17, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$0.00Oct 17, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$1.01Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET$1.00Oct 16, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$1.00Oct 16, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$1.05Oct 15, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET$1.08Oct 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4PM ET$1.00Oct 12, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 8?$1.03Oct 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 8?$1.00Oct 7, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Oct 7, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 7?$1.00Oct 7, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$1.00Oct 1, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.00Oct 1, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".