Definitive-Curtain
0xbcde0a5fb03531fca5e631b77fa4f9b5aa468dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$250.86
Total PnL
$-92.08
Realised
$67.85
Win rate
98%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.72
$0.72
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
52 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$49.03
$1.03
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$48.08
$-1.92
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
46 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$44.58
$0.24
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1777 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.44
$0.22
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
945 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.89
$0.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
432 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.51
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
416 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.01Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.02Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.01Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.05Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.05Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.17Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.06Jun 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.30Jun 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.55Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.53Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.17Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.20Jun 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.22Jun 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.02Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.20Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.24Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.11Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.03Jun 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.04Jun 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.12Jun 13, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.