Wallet digest

active

Activity score

85/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$113.17

Total PnL

$-0.46

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 17

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
43 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$43.00
$25.80
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$39.52
$5.14
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
13 shares @ 22.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$12.90
$10.06
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
13 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$12.86
$9.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$2.96
$1.80
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$1.93
$0.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
43 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-16.50
UP
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-5.20
UP
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-5.20
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-5.20

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.96Feb 16, 15:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.77Feb 16, 15:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.97Feb 16, 15:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.86Feb 16, 15:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 15:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.02Feb 16, 15:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.76Feb 16, 15:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.71Feb 16, 14:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.18Feb 16, 14:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.77Feb 16, 14:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.76Feb 16, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.70Feb 16, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.73Feb 16, 14:25 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$9.84Feb 16, 14:25 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.95Feb 16, 14:25 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.47Feb 16, 14:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Feb 16, 14:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.85Feb 16, 14:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.49Feb 16, 14:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry82 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $3.31
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 16, 00:46 UTC
Last active: Feb 16, 15:36 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:05:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data