Granular-Warlock
0xbce52926fb340888f14086ad6576bfaa7cbd5a14
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on December 3?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9?$81.16Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9?$81.01Jun 9, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$81.16Jun 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$81.01Jun 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$80.65Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$80.03Jun 1, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.00May 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$76.31May 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$76.01May 26, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$76.15May 20, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$76.01May 19, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$75.23May 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$75.01May 16, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$75.30May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.00May 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$75.01May 14, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$79.08May 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$79.00Apr 29, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$79.53Apr 29, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$79.45Apr 27, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $58.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.