Poor-Ambience
0xbce686353e7efde22a29ccb06828faacbca4817a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.16
Total PnL
$-48.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$13.16
$3.16
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
236 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
41 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?
28 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.27
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?
22 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above in May?$4.68May 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$10.00May 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above in May?$4.00May 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$10.00Apr 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$28.08Apr 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?$3.00Mar 8, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$2.38Mar 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy impeached before July?$1.11Mar 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$3.00Mar 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy impeached before July?$2.00Mar 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US sanction Ukraine before April?$5.11Feb 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?$15.27Feb 25, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$5.00Feb 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$5.00Feb 24, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Feb 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$20.66Feb 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$5.00Feb 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$3.00Feb 22, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$10.00Feb 22, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US sanction Ukraine before April?$5.00Feb 21, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $8.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".