Specific-Ketchup
0xbcf028248c3ec7e47fea14e5cc4a7dcc76ab7045
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$118.97
Total PnL
$-61.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$32.47
$7.47
- NO
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$31.25
$6.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
21 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$20.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$11.63
$1.63
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
11 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$11.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?$10.00Nov 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?$10.00Nov 8, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?$10.00Nov 8, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?$10.00Nov 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$20.00Nov 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$10.00Nov 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration? $10.00Nov 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $25.00Nov 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$50.00Nov 8, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$25.00Nov 8, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $18.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".