Hard-Trapezium
0xbcf5d950d97a9b10ab4e89f164591b1cef6a796a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$0.00Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?$0.00Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?$0.00Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13?$0.00Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?$0.00Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 14, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Hoax" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" this week on Truth Social?$1.00Apr 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.59Apr 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3.35Apr 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.00Apr 12, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?$3.57Apr 12, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?$5.00Apr 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?$1.00Apr 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14?$1.00Apr 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13?$1.00Apr 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?$1.00Apr 11, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$1.00Apr 11, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.