Steep-Repayment
0xbcf85770e7f969cbb7285b332985091988dbd49e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$188.13
Total PnL
$-81.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$100.00
$28.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
88 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$88.13
$25.12
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?$100.00Feb 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 18?$89.28Feb 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 18?$89.25Feb 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?$94.10Feb 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?$93.00Feb 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 18?$79.00Feb 18, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 18?$0.68Feb 18, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 18?$75.32Feb 18, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?$82.00Feb 18, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$12.19Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$6.93Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.88Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.56Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.42Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.02Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?$87.00Feb 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$71.90Feb 18, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$63.01Feb 18, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $53.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.