Determined-Caribou
0xbcfa5ca64974bab9ab84621d375f1e6ef84b5ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$119.17
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-9.75
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
76 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$76.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
18 shares @ 61.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.79
$2.79
- UNDER
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5
13 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$12.90
$0.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$11.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 27.3¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
2020 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1375 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-703.02
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1PM ET
1357 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-749.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$75.06May 24, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$11.02May 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYShimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5$12.03May 24, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.26May 24, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$11.49May 24, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.51May 24, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5$14.93May 14, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5$56.12May 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$10.09May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.02May 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.02May 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBeijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5$55.03May 6, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5$10.10May 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?$12.09May 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?$11.03May 3, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$13.14May 3, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$65.66May 3, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$10.08Apr 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$13.01Apr 30, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Juárez (-2.5)$11.20Apr 30, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $21.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".