Tough-Navigation
0xbcfe6375a77c20e640e5cf6644257207b8236dd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$96.49
Total PnL
$-7.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
55 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.92
$-0.08
- NO
Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.36
$0.36
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- MAMDANI
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
9 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.51May 18, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.14May 18, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".