Polished-Export
0xbd0187a7f8f5e2bd65e0da2ea2994baecde39243
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.49
Total PnL
$-27.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- MARSHALL
Marshall vs. Middle Tennessee
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$54.55
$24.55
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
10 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.22
$0.22
- NATIONALS
Nationals vs. Mets
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6 shares @ 86.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.77
$0.77
- YES
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- MICHIGAN
Michigan vs. Nebraska
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMichigan vs. Nebraska$5.00Sep 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Mets$5.00Sep 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$5.00Sep 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$10.00Sep 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Sep 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora launch a token in 2025?$5.00Sep 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Sep 20, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarshall vs. Middle Tennessee$30.00Sep 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$50.00Mar 12, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMNotre Dame vs. Georgia$0.00Mar 12, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$100.91Mar 12, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$100.00Jan 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNotre Dame vs. Georgia$30.00Jan 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$0.00Jan 2, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$28.00Dec 25, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Kings$0.00Dec 25, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Kings$85.71Dec 25, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Kings$30.00Dec 21, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $23.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".