Surprised-Winery
0xbd08bf78691d349ab2c3a9e0c68ba66e30e54875
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?
20506 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
12178 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
9801 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
5181 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
4782 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
2934 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
2677 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
1757 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-520.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1076 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
671 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$32.09Mar 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$31.75Mar 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.00Jan 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by January 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$100.00Jan 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$520.00Jan 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$100.00Jan 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$100.00Jan 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$100.00Jan 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Jan 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?$1.1KJan 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.0KJan 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2.0KJan 17, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $370.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".